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Shanghai is projected to experience increased risks from heavy rainfall events, which are anticipated to become more intense as climate change progresses. The city’s low-lying coastal geography heightens its vulnerability, leading to possible urban flooding, waterlogging, and infrastructure disruptions. Increased rainfall can also result in hazardous runoff, deteriorating water quality and public health. Moreover, the interaction between rising sea levels and heavy precipitation exacerbates risks of flooding and erosion, severely impacting economic activities and living conditions. As these climate hazards are expected to worsen in the future, the need for awareness and proactive measures becomes critical. Stakeholders must prepare to address these climate challenges to safeguard the city’s resilience.

Hazard Outlook

How will Shanghai's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Elevation

9th percentile Very high exposure

At 7 m elevation, Shanghai faces very high risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Shanghai
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Rainfall

85th percentile High exposure

Shanghai's projected maximum rainfall of 16 mm is among the highest of all cities globally.

Shanghai
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Maximum Temperature

53rd percentile Elevated exposure

Shanghai's projected maximum temperature of 9.6°C is higher than most cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Shanghai
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

74th percentile Elevated exposure

Shanghai may experience heatwaves lasting up to 6 days, higher than most other cities.

Shanghai
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Heavy Rainfall Days

21st percentile Lower exposure

With 9 days of heavy rainfall expected, Shanghai ranks lower than most cities for extreme precipitation events.

Shanghai
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Exposure Summary

Elevation
Max Rain
Max Temp
Heatwave
Heavy Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Shanghai faces high exposure to elevation, max rain and elevated exposure to max temp, heatwave. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Shanghai.

No solutions have been documented for Shanghai.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Shanghai's resilience portfolio