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Ulaanbaatar is projected to face a future marked by frequent and intense heatwaves, significantly impacting public health and urban infrastructure. These rising temperatures will lead to increased energy demands for cooling, straining resources and worsening air quality. Vulnerable populations, including the elderly and those with health issues, will face heightened risks associated with heat stress and pollution. As the city continues to urbanize, the effects of heatwaves may be exacerbated, posing additional challenges for residents' overall well-being. Infrastructure may also suffer under prolonged heat, emphasizing the need for targeted adaptations and assessments to handle the anticipated climate impacts effectively. The reliance on fossil fuels further complicates the situation, indicating that climate hazards will realistically evolve and require informed strategies for mitigation to protect against the health and infrastructural risks posed by these heat events.

Hazard Outlook

How will Ulaanbaatar's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

50th percentile Elevated exposure

With 10 days of heavy rainfall expected, Ulaanbaatar ranks higher than most cities for extreme precipitation events.

Ulaanbaatar
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Maximum Temperature

24th percentile Lower exposure

Ulaanbaatar's projected maximum temperature of 8.5°C is lower than most cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Ulaanbaatar
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

9th percentile Lower exposure

Ulaanbaatar may experience heatwaves lasting up to 3 days, lower than most other cities.

Ulaanbaatar
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Maximum Rainfall

16th percentile Lower exposure

Ulaanbaatar's projected maximum rainfall of 6 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Ulaanbaatar
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

94th percentile Lower exposure

At 1312 m elevation, Ulaanbaatar faces lower risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Ulaanbaatar
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Max Temp
Heatwave
Max Rain
Elevation

Adaptation Priorities

Ulaanbaatar faces elevated exposure to heavy rain. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Ulaanbaatar.

No solutions have been documented for Ulaanbaatar.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Ulaanbaatar's resilience portfolio