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Cities / Guayaquil

Guayaquil

Ecuador

Guayaquil is set to confront pressing climate hazards, including heavy rainfall events and frequent heavy precipitation, which can result in significant flooding and infrastructure challenges. The city also faces a concerning rise in arbovirus transmission risk, potentially leading to widespread health crises. Additionally, the elevated malaria risk exacerbates public health vulnerabilities, threatening to overwhelm existing healthcare resources. These climate-related threats not only challenge the city’s environmental stability but also impact residents' well-being. As these hazards grow in intensity, Guayaquil will need to navigate these complexities to safeguard its population and infrastructure against the expected adverse impacts of climate change.

Hazard Outlook

How will Guayaquil's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

99th percentile Very high exposure

With 27 days of heavy rainfall expected, Guayaquil ranks among the highest of all cities for extreme precipitation events.

Guayaquil
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Maximum Rainfall

87th percentile High exposure

Guayaquil's projected maximum rainfall of 17 mm is among the highest of all cities globally.

Guayaquil
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

12th percentile High exposure

At 9 m elevation, Guayaquil faces high risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Guayaquil
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Temperature

25th percentile Moderate exposure

Guayaquil's projected maximum temperature of 8.6°C is near the median of cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Guayaquil
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

2nd percentile Lower exposure

Guayaquil may experience heatwaves lasting up to 2 days, lower than most other cities.

Guayaquil
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Max Rain
Elevation
Max Temp
Heatwave

Adaptation Priorities

Guayaquil faces high exposure to heavy rain, max rain, elevation. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Guayaquil.

No solutions have been documented for Guayaquil.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

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