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Abuja is projected to face significant climate hazards that will impact its environment and public health. The city is expected to experience extreme heat and dangerous heat extremes, leading to frequent heatwaves that could strain energy resources and increase heat-related illnesses. Additionally, the frequency of heavy rainfall events is anticipated to rise, resulting in increased flooding risks and potential infrastructure damage. Alongside these heavy precipitation events, prolonged drought conditions are also projected, which may disturb water supplies and agricultural productivity. Moreover, the changing climate is likely to elevate risks associated with arbovirus transmission and increase malaria prevalence, posing serious health concerns for residents. Collectively, these climate hazards pose significant vulnerabilities for Abuja, necessitating comprehensive assessment and planning to mitigate potential impacts on the community in the coming years.

Hazard Outlook

How will Abuja's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

81st percentile High exposure

With 11 days of heavy rainfall expected, Abuja ranks among the highest of all cities for extreme precipitation events.

Abuja
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Maximum Temperature

68th percentile Elevated exposure

Abuja's projected maximum temperature of 10.2°C is higher than most cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Abuja
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

55th percentile Elevated exposure

Abuja may experience heatwaves lasting up to 5 days, higher than most other cities.

Abuja
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Maximum Rainfall

63rd percentile Elevated exposure

Abuja's projected maximum rainfall of 13 mm is higher than most cities globally.

Abuja
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

80th percentile Lower exposure

At 442 m elevation, Abuja faces lower risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Abuja
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Max Temp
Heatwave
Max Rain
Elevation

Adaptation Priorities

Abuja faces high exposure to heavy rain and elevated exposure to max temp, heatwave, max rain. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Abuja.

No solutions have been documented for Abuja.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Abuja's resilience portfolio