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Lusaka is projected to face significant climate hazards, particularly elevated malaria risk due to changing climate conditions. The city is likely to experience increased temperatures and erratic rainfall, contributing to more favorable breeding conditions for malaria-carrying mosquitoes. Urbanization and inadequate sanitation amplify these vulnerabilities, leading to greater public health risks. With predictions of increased flooding, the mosquito breeding season may extend, potentially resulting in heightened malaria outbreaks that can overwhelm health services. The city's socio-economic factors further complicate its ability to adapt and respond effectively. Comprehensive data collection is essential for understanding these evolving risks and ensuring necessary interventions. Thus, Malawi's capital is confronted with a future where climate change exacerbates health challenges, underscoring the imperative for enhanced resilience and public health strategies. Increased awareness and preemptive measures are critical as Lusaka navigates these impending climate-related health threats.

Hazard Outlook

How will Lusaka's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Longest Heatwave

60th percentile Elevated exposure

Lusaka may experience heatwaves lasting up to 5 days, higher than most other cities.

Lusaka
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Heavy Rainfall Days

59th percentile Elevated exposure

With 10 days of heavy rainfall expected, Lusaka ranks higher than most cities for extreme precipitation events.

Lusaka
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Maximum Temperature

48th percentile Moderate exposure

Lusaka's projected maximum temperature of 9.5°C is near the median of cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Lusaka
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Maximum Rainfall

28th percentile Moderate exposure

Lusaka's projected maximum rainfall of 8 mm is near the median of cities globally.

Lusaka
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

94th percentile Lower exposure

At 1265 m elevation, Lusaka faces lower risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Lusaka
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Exposure Summary

Heatwave
Heavy Rain
Max Temp
Max Rain
Elevation

Adaptation Priorities

Lusaka faces elevated exposure to heatwave, heavy rain. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Lusaka.

No solutions have been documented for Lusaka.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Lusaka's resilience portfolio