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Guangzhou is projected to face a future characterized by frequent and severe heatwaves, posing health risks and straining energy resources. The city will also experience heavy rainfall events, which will likely increase the risk of flooding, compromising infrastructure and community safety. Additionally, the risk of arbovirus transmission is expected to rise, increasing the prevalence of diseases such as dengue fever. Furthermore, an elevated malaria risk looms as warmer conditions may expand ideal habitats for the mosquitoes that carry the disease. These climate hazards are interconnected, pointing to significant vulnerabilities in public health and urban resilience as the city confronts an uncertain climate future. Addressing these challenges promptly is essential for protecting the well-being of the population.

Hazard Outlook

How will Guangzhou's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Maximum Rainfall

81st percentile High exposure

Guangzhou's projected maximum rainfall of 15 mm is among the highest of all cities globally.

Guangzhou
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

50th percentile Elevated exposure

At 84 m elevation, Guangzhou faces elevated risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Guangzhou
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Temperature

40th percentile Moderate exposure

Guangzhou's projected maximum temperature of 9.2°C is near the median of cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Guangzhou
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

40th percentile Moderate exposure

Guangzhou may experience heatwaves lasting up to 4 days, near the median of other cities.

Guangzhou
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Heavy Rainfall Days

47th percentile Moderate exposure

With 10 days of heavy rainfall expected, Guangzhou ranks near the median of cities for extreme precipitation events.

Guangzhou
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Exposure Summary

Max Rain
Elevation
Max Temp
Heatwave
Heavy Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Guangzhou faces high exposure to max rain and elevated exposure to elevation. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Guangzhou.

No solutions have been documented for Guangzhou.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Guangzhou's resilience portfolio