Resilience Scanner

Mogadishu is projected to face a range of significant climate hazards, including frequent heatwaves and heavy precipitation, which are anticipated to exacerbate flooding and infrastructure damage. Prolonged drought conditions will likely lead to severe water scarcity, impacting agriculture and livelihoods. Moreover, high arbovirus transmission risks and elevated malaria concerns pose considerable public health challenges, threatening to strain healthcare facilities. As these climate patterns continue to shift, the city's vulnerabilities are expected to increase, affecting economic stability and community resilience. Timely adaptation and strategic planning will be crucial to address these evolving climate threats effectively, as Mogadishu navigates this precarious future.

Hazard Outlook

How will Mogadishu's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

91st percentile Very high exposure

With 12 days of heavy rainfall expected, Mogadishu ranks among the highest of all cities for extreme precipitation events.

Mogadishu
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Longest Heatwave

60th percentile Elevated exposure

Mogadishu may experience heatwaves lasting up to 5 days, higher than most other cities.

Mogadishu
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Elevation

44th percentile Elevated exposure

At 66 m elevation, Mogadishu faces elevated risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Mogadishu
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Temperature

42nd percentile Moderate exposure

Mogadishu's projected maximum temperature of 9.3°C is near the median of cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Mogadishu
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Maximum Rainfall

7th percentile Lower exposure

Mogadishu's projected maximum rainfall of 5 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Mogadishu
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Heatwave
Elevation
Max Temp
Max Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Mogadishu faces high exposure to heavy rain and elevated exposure to heatwave, elevation. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Mogadishu.

No solutions have been documented for Mogadishu.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Mogadishu's resilience portfolio