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Toluca faces a future where increased heavy precipitation is projected to occur more frequently, leading to heightened flood risks and soil erosion. These climate hazards threaten the city's infrastructure, disrupt economic activities, and can significantly impact the well-being of its residents. The frequency and intensity of such rainfall events are expected to worsen over time due to climate change, potentially straining emergency response systems and urban planning efforts. Vulnerable areas may experience severe flooding, complicating recovery efforts and posing risks to public health and safety. Addressing these challenges requires a detailed understanding of the evolving climate risks in Toluca and focused strategies to enhance resilience. Without documented technology-enabled solutions specifically for this city, awareness and preparedness are paramount to mitigate the anticipated impacts of these climate hazards.

Hazard Outlook

How will Toluca's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

72nd percentile Elevated exposure

With 11 days of heavy rainfall expected, Toluca ranks higher than most cities for extreme precipitation events.

Toluca
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Longest Heatwave

40th percentile Moderate exposure

Toluca may experience heatwaves lasting up to 4 days, near the median of other cities.

Toluca
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Maximum Temperature

3rd percentile Lower exposure

Toluca's projected maximum temperature of 7.1°C is lower than most cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Toluca
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Maximum Rainfall

23rd percentile Lower exposure

Toluca's projected maximum rainfall of 7 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Toluca
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

100th percentile Lower exposure

At 2629 m elevation, Toluca faces lower risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Toluca
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Heatwave
Max Temp
Max Rain
Elevation

Adaptation Priorities

Toluca faces elevated exposure to heavy rain. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Toluca.

No solutions have been documented for Toluca.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Toluca's resilience portfolio