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Natal is projected to face multifaceted climate hazards that threaten its environment and public health. The city will experience frequent heavy precipitation leading to flooding, alongside prolonged drought conditions contributing to water scarcity and agricultural challenges. With high arbovirus transmission risk, public health may suffer from increased dengue and Zika fever cases. Additionally, the city will face elevated malaria risk, driven by changes in climate that may expand habitats for malaria-carrying mosquitoes. These vulnerabilities highlight the urgent need for comprehensive assessments to prepare for such climate impacts while addressing the challenges posed by these evolving conditions.

Hazard Outlook

How will Natal's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Longest Heatwave

99th percentile Very high exposure

Natal may experience heatwaves lasting up to 57 days, among the highest of all other cities.

Natal
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Heavy Rainfall Days

98th percentile Very high exposure

With 21 days of heavy rainfall expected, Natal ranks among the highest of all cities for extreme precipitation events.

Natal
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Elevation

45th percentile Elevated exposure

At 70 m elevation, Natal faces elevated risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Natal
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Temperature

9th percentile Lower exposure

Natal's projected maximum temperature of 7.8°C is lower than most cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Natal
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Maximum Rainfall

17th percentile Lower exposure

Natal's projected maximum rainfall of 6 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Natal
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Exposure Summary

Heatwave
Heavy Rain
Elevation
Max Temp
Max Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Natal faces high exposure to heatwave, heavy rain and elevated exposure to elevation. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Natal.

No solutions have been documented for Natal.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Natal's resilience portfolio