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Guadalajara is projected to face significant climate hazards that will exacerbate health risks for its residents, particularly through elevated malaria risk. As climate patterns shift, conditions conducive to mosquito breeding and the transmission of malaria are likely to increase. Rising temperatures and altered rainfall patterns could create more favorable environments for malaria-carrying mosquitoes, leading to a greater incidence of the disease. Vulnerable populations within the city may be disproportionately affected, particularly those in lower-income areas without adequate public health resources. The increased prevalence of malaria poses a serious public health challenge, potentially straining health services and contributing to socioeconomic disparities. Furthermore, ongoing urbanization and changes in land use could compound these risks, making it essential for stakeholders to monitor malaria trends. Overall, Guadalajara faces a future where climate-related challenges will necessitate urgent attention to mitigate the health risks associated with malaria.

Hazard Outlook

How will Guadalajara's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Maximum Temperature

50th percentile Elevated exposure

Guadalajara's projected maximum temperature of 9.6°C is higher than most cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Guadalajara
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

52nd percentile Elevated exposure

Guadalajara may experience heatwaves lasting up to 5 days, higher than most other cities.

Guadalajara
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Maximum Rainfall

27th percentile Moderate exposure

Guadalajara's projected maximum rainfall of 8 mm is near the median of cities globally.

Guadalajara
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Heavy Rainfall Days

23rd percentile Lower exposure

With 9 days of heavy rainfall expected, Guadalajara ranks lower than most cities for extreme precipitation events.

Guadalajara
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Elevation

96th percentile Lower exposure

At 1555 m elevation, Guadalajara faces lower risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Guadalajara
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Exposure Summary

Max Temp
Heatwave
Max Rain
Heavy Rain
Elevation

Adaptation Priorities

Guadalajara faces elevated exposure to max temp, heatwave. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Guadalajara.

No solutions have been documented for Guadalajara.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Guadalajara's resilience portfolio