Resilience Scanner

Tokyo is projected to face increased climate risks due to heavy rainfall events, which are expected to become more frequent and intense. These changes will likely result in greater flooding risks, stressing urban infrastructure and leading to potential disruptions of essential services. The city's topography, with its dense urban population and extensive built environment, exacerbates its vulnerability to such climatic shifts. Overwhelmed drainage systems may compound flooding issues, risking public safety and economic activity. The future of Tokyo will depend on how effectively it can mitigate these risks and adapt to a changing climate, especially concerning heavy precipitation.

Hazard Outlook

How will Tokyo's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Maximum Rainfall

91st percentile Very high exposure

Tokyo's projected maximum rainfall of 18 mm is among the highest of all cities globally.

Tokyo
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Longest Heatwave

69th percentile Elevated exposure

Tokyo may experience heatwaves lasting up to 6 days, higher than most other cities.

Tokyo
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Elevation

36th percentile Elevated exposure

At 41 m elevation, Tokyo faces elevated risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Tokyo
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Temperature

37th percentile Moderate exposure

Tokyo's projected maximum temperature of 9.1°C is near the median of cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Tokyo
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Heavy Rainfall Days

35th percentile Moderate exposure

With 10 days of heavy rainfall expected, Tokyo ranks near the median of cities for extreme precipitation events.

Tokyo
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Exposure Summary

Max Rain
Heatwave
Elevation
Max Temp
Heavy Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Tokyo faces high exposure to max rain and elevated exposure to heatwave, elevation. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Tokyo.

No solutions have been documented for Tokyo.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Tokyo's resilience portfolio