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Barnaul is projected to experience frequent and intense heatwaves, significantly impacting its climate resilience. These extreme temperatures will likely escalate in both intensity and duration, further straining the city's existing infrastructure and public health systems. Water scarcity is anticipated to become more pronounced due to increased heat demand, affecting agricultural practices and local water supplies. Vulnerable populations, especially the elderly and those with health issues, are at heightened risk during these extreme heat events. The urban heat island effect may also contribute to rising temperatures, worsening living conditions. The local economy may experience challenges as businesses face operational difficulties during extreme heat periods. As Barnaul confronts these climate hazards, preparing for the escalating risks and emphasizing community resilience will be crucial for the city’s future sustainability.

Hazard Outlook

How will Barnaul's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

57th percentile Elevated exposure

With 10 days of heavy rainfall expected, Barnaul ranks higher than most cities for extreme precipitation events.

Barnaul
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Maximum Temperature

37th percentile Moderate exposure

Barnaul's projected maximum temperature of 9.1°C is near the median of cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Barnaul
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

30th percentile Moderate exposure

Barnaul may experience heatwaves lasting up to 4 days, near the median of other cities.

Barnaul
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Elevation

64th percentile Moderate exposure

At 187 m elevation, Barnaul faces moderate risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Barnaul
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Rainfall

5th percentile Lower exposure

Barnaul's projected maximum rainfall of 5 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Barnaul
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Max Temp
Heatwave
Elevation
Max Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Barnaul faces elevated exposure to heavy rain. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Barnaul.

No solutions have been documented for Barnaul.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

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