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Dubai is projected to face severe climate challenges in the coming years, marked by extreme heat and dangerous heat extremes. The city is likely to experience an increase in the frequency and intensity of heatwaves, which could severely impact public health and infrastructure. Additionally, Dubai faces a future where heavy precipitation events become more frequent, potentially leading to flooding and infrastructure strain. Prolonged drought conditions may also become prevalent, impacting water resources and sustainability. The combination of these climate hazards poses significant risks that necessitate urgent attention and action to enhance the city's resilience against the adverse effects of climate change. Addressing these vulnerabilities is critical for ensuring long-term sustainability and quality of life for residents as the climate crisis deepens.

Hazard Outlook

How will Dubai's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Heavy Rainfall Days

97th percentile Very high exposure

With 18 days of heavy rainfall expected, Dubai ranks among the highest of all cities for extreme precipitation events.

Dubai
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Elevation

9th percentile Very high exposure

At 7 m elevation, Dubai faces very high risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Dubai
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Maximum Temperature

85th percentile High exposure

Dubai's projected maximum temperature of 11.4°C is among the highest of all cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Dubai
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Longest Heatwave

73rd percentile Elevated exposure

Dubai may experience heatwaves lasting up to 6 days, higher than most other cities.

Dubai
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Maximum Rainfall

8th percentile Lower exposure

Dubai's projected maximum rainfall of 5 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Dubai
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Exposure Summary

Heavy Rain
Elevation
Max Temp
Heatwave
Max Rain

Adaptation Priorities

Dubai faces high exposure to heavy rain, elevation, max temp and elevated exposure to heatwave. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Dubai.

No solutions have been documented for Dubai.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Dubai's resilience portfolio