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Tehran faces a future characterized by significant climate hazards, particularly extreme heat and dangerous heat extremes. It is projected that the frequency and severity of heatwaves will increase, posing serious risks to public health, especially among vulnerable demographics. The likelihood of heat-related illnesses will rise, putting pressure on healthcare infrastructure. Additionally, the urban heat island effect may worsen conditions, where built environments become disproportionately warmer. Given this climate outlook, it is vital for local authorities to assess and manage these risks effectively. The need for adaptive strategies is urgent as Tehran confronts the escalating threats associated with extreme heat, highlighting the importance of proactive measures for community resilience in the face of climate change.

Hazard Outlook

How will Tehran's projected climate hazards compare to other cities under a 3.0°C future warming scenario?

Longest Heatwave

90th percentile Very high exposure

Tehran may experience heatwaves lasting up to 9 days, among the highest of all other cities.

Tehran
0.0 Shorter → Longer 92

Maximum Temperature

75th percentile High exposure

Tehran's projected maximum temperature of 10.6°C is among the highest of all cities globally under a 3.0°C warming scenario.

Tehran
5.0 Cooler → Hotter 13

Heavy Rainfall Days

31st percentile Moderate exposure

With 10 days of heavy rainfall expected, Tehran ranks near the median of cities for extreme precipitation events.

Tehran
0.0 Fewer → More 36

Maximum Rainfall

8th percentile Lower exposure

Tehran's projected maximum rainfall of 6 mm is lower than most cities globally.

Tehran
0.0 Lower → Higher 35

Elevation

93rd percentile Lower exposure

At 1208 m elevation, Tehran faces lower risk from coastal flooding and sea level rise.

Tehran
-8.0 Lower → Higher 4k

Exposure Summary

Heatwave
Max Temp
Heavy Rain
Max Rain
Elevation

Adaptation Priorities

Tehran faces high exposure to heatwave, max temp. These areas may warrant priority attention in adaptation planning.

Data source: Climate projections from the IPCC AR6 scenario analysis. See our methodology for details on how we process and interpret this data.

Deployed Solutions

Deployed climate adaptation technologies identified in Tehran.

No solutions have been documented for Tehran.

This is an archived snapshot of the database.

Recommended Solutions

Proven solutions from similar cities that could help diversify Tehran's resilience portfolio